Ecc2 solved

[Keroberts1]

Any of you guys noticed the activity on the Ecc2-109 website. They found a collision and believe that have finished solving the encryption. :cheers: I have made a recruitment post on their site. Hopefully we'll be the next project to fall. :jester: Well maybe not imediatly but some new members could knock a few primes down and we could be well on our way.

[Jwb52z]

Until Certicom has verified the solution, you should not have called this topic "ECC2 solved".

[Keroberts1]

opps you definatly called me on that because i was trying to be careful not to say it was definatly solved. I guess i just hurried through the topic line a little too quickly though sorry it has not yet been verified however a collision has been found and it is very likely that it has indeed been solved.

[Keroberts1]

well its confirmed now it is all over. They finally finished Ecc2-109 Congrats to all of those who were active in it and i can only hope SoB will be the next to fall. I believe we've recieved a few new participants from the fall of Ecc2 also so maybe after a few primes we'll see ourselves in the running for next DC to finish. I know i know Hopeful thinking.

[Death]

there should be a news on a main page of project.
http://md5crk.com already did this.

but I don't like them. I love 17oB! =))

[Keroberts1]

maybe true but we have seen a boost in daily new users. Not a huge one but it is noticable. And anyways hasn't MD5 been attempted before?

[Keroberts1]

Exactly how many thousands of years is MD5 supposed ot take again?

[Death]

they expect first collision after 2 years

[Keroberts1]

Probability of Completion
At Current Rate 24 Hrs 1 : 9,629,149
30 Days 1 : 2,794,876
365 Days 1 : 73,880
730 Days 1 : 20,201

this is from their site
the chance of a colision in
the next 2 years is one in 20201
i don't think thats gonna happen

Maybe I'm confused do they need
many thousand collisions to finish?

[Mystwalker]

Well, currently it's 20,201 : 1. But think of the workload increase over the next 2 years.

To my knowledge, they only need 1 collision.

[Death]

well, this is another distributed.net clone...

[Keroberts1]

Probability of Completion
At Current Rate 24 Hrs 1 : 4,005,035
30 Days 1 : 1,742,631
365 Days 1 : 75,609


Wow i guess they are just scaring people off left and right

[Mystwalker]

Yepp, strange that they took away the 2 year probability. That one was down to ~ 1:10,000 some time...

Having said that, distributed.net ist not very different when they say

The odds are 1 in 366,324 that we will wrap this thing
up in the next 24 hours. (This also means that we'll
hit 100% in 366,324 days at yesterday's rate.)
...

[Keroberts1]

yes but that hs dropped alot since the project was younger if you compare to the 1 year stat for MD5CRK you'll notice the one year odds has gone down.

[Guilherme]

The probability of completion was in 1 :10,000 because several computers were working on the project that day, more than when the rate was 1 : 75,000.

[Mystwalker]

Originally posted by Keroberts1
yes but that hs dropped alot since the project was younger if you compare to the 1 year stat for MD5CRK you'll notice the one year odds has gone down.

Well, MD5crk is only 2 months old - I remember when I joined SB 6-7 months after project start, there were 200-300 participants. Now, there are almost 5,500. I think it takes maybe a year before one can say how big a project is going to be. Then, the odds will be a lot better, too. Of course, it'll most likely still take some time before the project is completed.
But this is true for alomst all DC projects, I think... :jester:

[Keroberts1]

True True.. I still think we'll see SB finished in our life times just as long as we don't really have to go to n = 10^14 to find the last prime. Once we get rid of a few of the higher proth weight ones we'll be moving really fast. We could even over take GIMPS if we remove a couple K's. Of course that'll still be a couple years down the line. I doubt we'll get to the 10,000,000 digit prime first but we'll probably get to the 100,000,000 digit prime before them.